Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Seth Jarvis
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Jarvis 45.8% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 77.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 91.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 91.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Pageau
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Pageau
Jarvis
Last 8: Pageau 6-2 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
2
Pageau
Jarvis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau
Jarvis
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Jarvis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
46.2% (171)
+10.9%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
51.9% (54)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
39.4% (127)
+8.6%
On even strength, Pageau has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. Jarvis is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (49).
Home / Away
Pageau
Jarvis
Home
57.0% (618)
46.1% (204)
Away
53.9% (607)
42.6% (148)
By Period
Pageau
Jarvis
P1
54.4%
42.5%
P2
61.0%
42.9%
P3
51.0%
48.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 14:43 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 07:48 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 10:03 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |