Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Seth Jarvis
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +25.4% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Jarvis 40.5% (+25.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 59.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 87.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 50.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Pageau
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Pageau
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
2
Pageau
Jarvis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Jarvis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
32.1% (81)
+27.5%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
38.6% (57)
+25.4%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
28.6% (14)
+27.8%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Pageau is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Pageau shoots right. Jarvis is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Pageau
Jarvis
Home
59.3% (506)
40.6% (69)
Away
60.0% (482)
28.9% (83)
By Period
Pageau
Jarvis
P1
56.8%
30.9%
P2
64.4%
30.6%
P3
56.9%
47.1%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
28.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |