Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Seth Jarvis
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Jarvis 46.8% (+17.2%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 68.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 78.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 53.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Pageau
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
44.2% (52)
+14.9%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
33.3% (6)
+36.1%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
40.0% (15)
+20.1%
On power play, Pageau has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Pageau is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Pageau shoots right. Jarvis is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Pageau
Jarvis
Home
57.8% (377)
43.6% (39)
Away
61.0% (559)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Pageau
Jarvis
P1
54.1%
37.5%
P2
62.1%
48.3%
P3
61.8%
38.9%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
42.5%