Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Steven Stamkos
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Stamkos 50.9% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 58.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 81.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 75.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Pageau
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Pageau
Stamkos
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
3
Pageau
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
49.3% (789)
+6.5%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
56.9% (181)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
54.1% (98)
-2.9%
On even strength, Pageau has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Pageau is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Pageau shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Pageau
Stamkos
Home
57.1% (674)
52.0% (512)
Away
53.5% (678)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Pageau
Stamkos
P1
56.9%
42.1%
P2
54.5%
56.4%
P3
54.7%
53.7%
OT
52.9%
62.5%
Final 5 min
55.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 19:41 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 3 | 14:39 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 1 | 18:43 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |