Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Steven Stamkos
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Stamkos 53.4% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 63.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 76.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 62.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Pageau
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Pageau
Stamkos
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Pageau
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
2
Pageau
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
3
Pageau
Stamkos
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
55.3% (628)
+3.5%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
55.1% (216)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
40.2% (87)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Pageau is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Pageau shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Pageau
Stamkos
Home
59.0% (595)
55.5% (499)
Away
55.7% (661)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Pageau
Stamkos
P1
58.9%
50.7%
P2
57.9%
53.8%
P3
55.6%
55.9%
OT
44.4%
87.5%
Final 5 min
56.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 16:45 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |