Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tomas Nosek
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Nosek 58.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 76.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 63.8%
Neutral zone
Nosek 50.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Pageau
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pageau
Nosek
Last 5: Pageau 3-2 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
59.7% (469)
-0.9%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
100.0% (4)
-41.8%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
56.5% (124)
-7.9%
On power play, Nosek has a +41.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Nosek is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Pageau
Nosek
Home
59.0% (595)
59.0% (295)
Away
55.7% (661)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Pageau
Nosek
P1
58.9%
56.3%
P2
57.9%
61.9%
P3
55.6%
59.2%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |