Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tomas Nosek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Nosek 46.9% (+16.1%)
Offensive zone
Pageau 53.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 71.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 54.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Pageau
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
48.5% (66)
+10.6%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
100.0% (1)
-30.6%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
29.6% (27)
+30.5%
On power play, Nosek has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Nosek is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Pageau
Nosek
Home
57.8% (377)
44.0% (25)
Away
61.0% (559)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Pageau
Nosek
P1
54.1%
46.4%
P2
62.1%
34.2%
P3
61.8%
53.6%
Final 5 min
63.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%