Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tomas Nosek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Nosek 53.6% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 58.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 59.0%
Neutral zone
Nosek 60.9%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Pageau
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Pageau
Nosek
Last 10: Pageau 4-6 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
2
Pageau
Nosek
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
7
Pageau
Nosek
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
3
Pageau
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
54.9% (2,674)
+0.8%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
44.7% (47)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
47.4% (424)
+2.2%
On power play, Pageau has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Pageau shoots right. Nosek is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Pageau
Nosek
Home
56.3% (6,214)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Pageau
Nosek
P1
54.6%
52.3%
P2
56.3%
54.0%
P3
53.5%
54.6%
OT
54.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |