Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 46.8% vs Carter 48.8% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 57.6%
Defensive zone
Copp 79.2%
Neutral zone
Copp 69.0%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Copp
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Copp
Carter
Last 5: Copp 1-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Copp
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (424)
48.5% (977)
-1.3%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
57.8% (128)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (53)
40.7% (123)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Copp is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Copp shoots left. Carter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (836).
Home / Away
Copp
Carter
Home
46.2% (251)
50.8% (597)
Away
46.0% (235)
46.8% (631)
By Period
Copp
Carter
P1
53.1%
48.8%
P2
41.8%
48.0%
P3
43.5%
49.4%
Final 5 min
39.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 12:59 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |