Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.2%). Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings). Jenner wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Carter 53.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 24-24 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 52.2%
Defensive zone
Jenner 51.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Jenner
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
24
(48 meetings)
24
24
Jenner
Carter
Last 10: Jenner 7-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
15
7
Jenner
Carter
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
14
Jenner
Carter
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
6
3
Jenner
Carter
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
53.3% (8,728)
+1.2%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
57.3% (1,554)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
46.3% (1,087)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Jenner is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,155).
Jenner shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Jenner
Carter
Home
54.5% (4,051)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Jenner
Carter
P1
53.7%
53.6%
P2
53.5%
52.8%
P3
54.4%
53.1%
OT
54.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |