Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.7% vs Carter 51.1% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 66.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 68.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 65.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Jenner
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Jenner
Carter
Last 10: Jenner 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
3
Jenner
Carter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
5
Jenner
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (861)
52.2% (552)
+5.1%
Power Play
52.6% (135)
56.4% (94)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (170)
41.0% (100)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Jenner is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Jenner shoots left. Carter is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Jenner
Carter
Home
54.8% (586)
51.2% (324)
Away
55.5% (580)
51.2% (422)
By Period
Jenner
Carter
P1
57.3%
49.8%
P2
52.5%
52.8%
P3
55.9%
51.2%
OT
54.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 04:02 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 00:42 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |