Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Carter 53.2% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 35-17 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 89.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 80.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 79.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Coyle
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
35
(52 meetings)
17
35
Coyle
Carter
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
5
6
Coyle
Carter
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
7
18
Coyle
Carter
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
5
11
Coyle
Carter
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
53.3% (8,728)
-3.9%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
57.3% (1,554)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
46.3% (1,087)
-2.7%
On power play, Carter has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Coyle shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Coyle
Carter
Home
49.8% (4,835)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Coyle
Carter
P1
49.4%
53.6%
P2
48.3%
52.8%
P3
48.8%
53.1%
OT
49.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 08:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:40 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |