Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 44.7% vs Carter 51.8% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 50.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 50.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Lazar
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lazar
Carter
Last 5: Lazar 2-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Lazar
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Lazar
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (98)
53.4% (1,137)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.7% (124)
-42.7%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Lazar is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Lazar shoots right. Carter is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Lazar
Carter
Home
34.2% (38)
54.8% (753)
Away
42.6% (61)
48.6% (662)
By Period
Lazar
Carter
P1
42.9%
52.8%
P2
35.5%
53.0%
P3
39.4%
49.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
39.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |