Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs Carter 58.5% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 93.8%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 70.0%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 84.3%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Kuznetsov
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kuznetsov
Carter
Last 6: Kuznetsov 1-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Kuznetsov
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Kuznetsov
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
59.7% (727)
-12.0%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
68.1% (72)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
53.2% (139)
-13.8%
On power play, Carter has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Kuznetsov is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Carter
Home
45.9% (534)
58.7% (455)
Away
49.2% (535)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Carter
P1
44.8%
61.3%
P2
52.1%
57.1%
P3
44.5%
59.8%
OT
75.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.2%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:09 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |