Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jeff Carter
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Pageau wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 49.3% vs Carter 52.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 64.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 91.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 72.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Pageau
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Pageau
Carter
Last 7: Pageau 0-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
6
Pageau
Carter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Pageau
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (536)
51.5% (934)
+0.0%
Power Play
61.5% (13)
58.5% (164)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (132)
52.6% (95)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Pageau is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Pageau shoots right. Carter is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
Pageau
Carter
Home
51.0% (347)
55.1% (554)
Away
47.3% (334)
50.4% (639)
By Period
Pageau
Carter
P1
54.4%
50.8%
P2
47.3%
52.1%
P3
45.8%
54.8%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
49.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2015 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 1 | 02:20 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |