Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jeff Carter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 18 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Carter 53.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 36-21 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 71.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 61.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 54.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Pageau
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
36
(57 meetings)
21
36
Pageau
Carter
Last 10: Pageau 1-9 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
15
Pageau
Carter
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
10
14
Pageau
Carter
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
8
7
Pageau
Carter
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
53.3% (8,728)
+2.4%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
57.3% (1,554)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
46.3% (1,087)
+3.3%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,718).
Pageau shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Pageau
Carter
Home
56.3% (6,214)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Pageau
Carter
P1
54.6%
53.6%
P2
56.3%
52.8%
P3
53.5%
53.1%
OT
54.4%
56.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 12:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |