Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Pavelski 50.9% (+11.4%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 69.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 71.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Carter
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
51.5% (594)
+14.1%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
51.7% (87)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
28.6% (14)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Carter shoots right. Pavelski is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Carter
Pavelski
Home
64.3% (207)
53.1% (339)
Away
60.8% (217)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Carter
Pavelski
P1
65.3%
53.8%
P2
60.1%
47.8%
P3
63.8%
50.2%
OT
40.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
65.3%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%