Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Duchene 52.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 75.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 86.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 60.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Carter
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Carter
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Carter
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
46.9% (162)
+11.0%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
73.2% (56)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
100.0% (2)
-54.6%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +54.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Carter
Duchene
Home
58.2% (543)
58.4% (125)
Away
55.9% (594)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Carter
Duchene
P1
57.5%
56.9%
P2
57.1%
52.5%
P3
55.8%
51.9%
OT
68.2%
80.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |