Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Duchene 52.1% (+6.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 81.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 88.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 56.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Carter
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
53.9% (193)
+5.8%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
49.2% (65)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
100.0% (1)
-46.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Carter
Duchene
Home
58.7% (455)
54.9% (113)
Away
60.0% (483)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Carter
Duchene
P1
61.3%
54.9%
P2
57.1%
52.7%
P3
59.8%
51.9%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%