Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Duchene 55.6% (+6.0%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 72.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 72.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 57.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Carter
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
56.5% (566)
+9.1%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
61.3% (62)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
22.2% (9)
+28.3%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Carter
Duchene
Home
64.3% (207)
56.6% (318)
Away
60.8% (217)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Carter
Duchene
P1
65.3%
57.2%
P2
60.1%
55.1%
P3
63.8%
55.6%
OT
40.0%
81.3%
Final 5 min
65.3%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%