Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs McLeod 59.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 50.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 53.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 60.0%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Carter
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Carter
McLeod
Last 6: Carter 5-1 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
61.5% (792)
-1.8%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
65.2% (23)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
55.6% (153)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Carter shoots right. McLeod is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Carter
McLeod
Home
58.7% (455)
62.0% (460)
Away
60.0% (483)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Carter
McLeod
P1
61.3%
61.5%
P2
57.1%
63.6%
P3
59.8%
56.2%
OT
57.1%
73.3%
Final 5 min
60.2%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |