Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs McLeod 58.0% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 66.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 89.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 71.7%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Carter
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Carter
McLeod
Last 10: Carter 8-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
7
2
Carter
McLeod
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
6
3
Carter
McLeod
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Carter
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
59.2% (2,894)
-5.9%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
57.4% (101)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
53.5% (525)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. McLeod is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,063).
Home / Away
Carter
McLeod
Home
54.7% (5,752)
58.2% (1,647)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
58.4% (1,873)
By Period
Carter
McLeod
P1
53.6%
58.7%
P2
52.8%
59.9%
P3
53.1%
56.3%
OT
56.5%
63.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 08:02 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |