Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.2% vs Backlund 49.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 60.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 60.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 64.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Carter
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Carter
Backlund
Last 9: Carter 6-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Carter
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (935)
49.2% (884)
+0.7%
Power Play
61.8% (157)
44.3% (61)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (92)
57.0% (86)
-10.3%
On power play, Carter has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Carter is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Carter shoots right. Backlund is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Carter
Backlund
Home
52.4% (638)
49.3% (531)
Away
50.0% (546)
49.8% (500)
By Period
Carter
Backlund
P1
49.6%
47.1%
P2
50.9%
53.7%
P3
53.0%
47.8%
OT
58.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |