Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Backlund 50.3% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 67.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 68.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 70.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Carter
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Carter
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Carter
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
51.0% (1,205)
+14.6%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
59.3% (108)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
42.3% (234)
+8.2%
On even strength, Carter has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Carter
Backlund
Home
64.3% (207)
51.2% (782)
Away
60.8% (217)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Carter
Backlund
P1
65.3%
51.5%
P2
60.1%
49.8%
P3
63.8%
49.9%
OT
40.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
65.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |