Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Backlund 50.5% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 79.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 84.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 81.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Carter
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Carter
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
51.5% (983)
+6.4%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
49.4% (87)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
45.3% (159)
+0.1%
On power play, Carter has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Carter
Backlund
Home
58.2% (543)
51.6% (653)
Away
55.9% (594)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Carter
Backlund
P1
57.5%
50.0%
P2
57.1%
49.8%
P3
55.8%
51.7%
OT
68.2%
53.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |