Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Frost 50.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 61.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 88.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 73.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Carter
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
11
(27 meetings)
16
11
Carter
Frost
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
6
Carter
Frost
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
10
2
Carter
Frost
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
5
3
Carter
Frost
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
49.4% (3,598)
+3.9%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
55.5% (625)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
52.8% (36)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,477).
Home / Away
Carter
Frost
Home
54.7% (5,752)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Carter
Frost
P1
53.6%
50.8%
P2
52.8%
51.1%
P3
53.1%
48.5%
OT
56.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 01:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 02:58 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 17:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |