Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Frost 46.2% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 56.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 93.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 78.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Carter
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Carter
Frost
Last 10: Carter 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
3
Carter
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
4
1
Carter
Frost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
45.6% (833)
+14.1%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
46.0% (100)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
55.6% (18)
-2.4%
On power play, Carter has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Frost is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Carter
Frost
Home
58.7% (455)
47.0% (440)
Away
60.0% (483)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Carter
Frost
P1
61.3%
42.5%
P2
57.1%
47.9%
P3
59.8%
46.6%
OT
57.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 02:58 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 17:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |