Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Frost 49.5% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 52.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 96.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 88.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 96.1%
96.1%
3.9%
Carter
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Carter
Frost
Last 5: Carter 5-0 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
5
0
Carter
Frost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
48.6% (704)
+17.0%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
55.7% (115)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
25.0% (4)
+25.5%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Frost is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Carter
Frost
Home
64.3% (207)
49.9% (399)
Away
60.8% (217)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Carter
Frost
P1
65.3%
51.2%
P2
60.1%
53.9%
P3
63.8%
42.7%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 01:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |