Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 48.8% vs Bjugstad 51.5% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 55.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 63.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Carter
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Carter
Bjugstad
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
1
Carter
Bjugstad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Carter
Bjugstad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (977)
50.4% (752)
-1.9%
Power Play
57.8% (128)
60.6% (104)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (123)
58.3% (12)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Carter is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Carter shoots right. Bjugstad is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Carter
Bjugstad
Home
50.8% (597)
52.9% (461)
Away
46.8% (631)
50.4% (407)
By Period
Carter
Bjugstad
P1
48.8%
51.5%
P2
48.0%
53.8%
P3
49.4%
49.8%
OT
45.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |