Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 50.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 53.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 57.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Carter
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Carter
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Carter
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
55.9% (245)
+2.0%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
0.0% (3)
+61.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
57.1% (7)
-11.7%
On power play, Carter has a +61.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Carter shoots right. Bjugstad is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Carter
Bjugstad
Home
58.2% (543)
53.2% (111)
Away
55.9% (594)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Carter
Bjugstad
P1
57.5%
44.6%
P2
57.1%
61.4%
P3
55.8%
61.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |