Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 68.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 72.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 73.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Carter
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Carter
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
50.7% (906)
+14.9%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
48.1% (108)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
44.4% (239)
+6.1%
On power play, Carter has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Carter shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Carter
Bjugstad
Home
64.3% (207)
49.8% (643)
Away
60.8% (217)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Carter
Bjugstad
P1
65.3%
49.4%
P2
60.1%
50.5%
P3
63.8%
47.9%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |