Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.2%). Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.1% vs Paul 51.0% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 52.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 52.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.4%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Carter
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Carter
Paul
Last 5: Carter 2-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Carter
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Carter
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (552)
53.5% (312)
-1.3%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
53.8% (26)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (100)
29.4% (34)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Carter is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Carter shoots right. Paul is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Carter
Paul
Home
51.2% (324)
45.8% (153)
Away
51.2% (422)
55.0% (220)
By Period
Carter
Paul
P1
49.8%
55.9%
P2
52.8%
48.9%
P3
51.2%
50.0%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.2%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 14:18 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Nick Paul |