Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 49.0% vs Hischier 54.9% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 59.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 52.0%
Neutral zone
Hischier 58.1%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Carter
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Carter
Hischier
Last 10: Carter 4-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
5
Carter
Hischier
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
7
3
Carter
Hischier
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Carter
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (242)
53.2% (250)
-3.6%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
66.7% (75)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (50)
55.6% (36)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Carter is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Carter shoots right. Hischier is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Carter
Hischier
Home
48.6% (173)
56.9% (153)
Away
48.9% (141)
55.8% (208)
By Period
Carter
Hischier
P1
52.1%
50.0%
P2
47.8%
48.6%
P3
46.6%
68.0%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:31 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 10:15 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 14:02 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 05:00 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 00:32 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |