Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Hischier 53.6% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 87.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 55.7%
Neutral zone
Hischier 66.5%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Carter
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Carter
Hischier
Last 10: Carter 2-8 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
4
Carter
Hischier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Hischier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
4
Carter
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
52.4% (1,185)
+7.3%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
57.8% (315)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
57.1% (154)
-3.9%
On power play, Carter has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Hischier is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Carter
Hischier
Home
58.7% (455)
53.4% (844)
Away
60.0% (483)
54.3% (810)
By Period
Carter
Hischier
P1
61.3%
49.7%
P2
57.1%
54.6%
P3
59.8%
56.1%
OT
57.1%
65.5%
Final 5 min
60.2%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 03:33 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 08:39 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 17:37 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |