Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Hischier 51.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 64.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 66.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 54.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Carter
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Carter
Hischier
Last 10: Carter 5-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
4
Carter
Hischier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
7
3
Carter
Hischier
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Carter
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
51.0% (1,011)
+6.9%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
58.2% (261)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
47.7% (130)
-2.3%
On even strength, Carter has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Hischier is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Carter
Hischier
Home
58.2% (543)
52.8% (665)
Away
55.9% (594)
51.4% (737)
By Period
Carter
Hischier
P1
57.5%
53.8%
P2
57.1%
53.8%
P3
55.8%
49.5%
OT
68.2%
35.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:29 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 1 | 03:10 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 13:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 17:57 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |