Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Hischier 56.2% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 88.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 50.1%
Neutral zone
Hischier 63.7%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 88.8%
11.2%
88.8%
Carter
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Carter
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Carter
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
56.1% (1,018)
+9.5%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
59.9% (289)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
51.3% (80)
-0.8%
On even strength, Carter has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Hischier is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Carter
Hischier
Home
64.3% (207)
56.5% (706)
Away
60.8% (217)
56.7% (681)
By Period
Carter
Hischier
P1
65.3%
54.8%
P2
60.1%
57.8%
P3
63.8%
57.6%
OT
40.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
65.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |