Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Zacha 49.1% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 17-13 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 67.0%
Defensive zone
Zacha 68.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 67.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Carter
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
17
(30 meetings)
13
17
Carter
Zacha
Last 10: Carter 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
12
Carter
Zacha
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
8
4
Carter
Zacha
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
48.9% (5,102)
+4.4%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
55.6% (804)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
42.2% (555)
+4.1%
On even strength, Carter has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Home / Away
Carter
Zacha
Home
54.7% (5,752)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Carter
Zacha
P1
53.6%
49.9%
P2
52.8%
49.2%
P3
53.1%
48.1%
OT
56.5%
53.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:44 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |