Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Zacha 50.1% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 82.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 53.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 68.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Carter
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Carter
Zacha
Last 7: Carter 2-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Carter
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Carter
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
48.0% (296)
+9.9%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
61.0% (59)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
50.0% (22)
-4.6%
On even strength, Carter has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Carter
Zacha
Home
58.2% (543)
48.9% (223)
Away
55.9% (594)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Carter
Zacha
P1
57.5%
47.9%
P2
57.1%
48.3%
P3
55.8%
54.3%
OT
68.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:44 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |