Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Zacha 46.5% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 71.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 85.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 56.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Carter
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Carter
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Carter
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
45.3% (247)
+14.4%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
58.1% (31)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
22.2% (18)
+31.0%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Carter
Zacha
Home
58.7% (455)
39.7% (131)
Away
60.0% (483)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Carter
Zacha
P1
61.3%
42.9%
P2
57.1%
46.4%
P3
59.8%
42.3%
OT
57.1%
87.5%
Final 5 min
60.2%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |