Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Zacha 54.4% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 65.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 91.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 76.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Carter
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Carter
Zacha
Last 8: Carter 5-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
3
Carter
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
53.9% (787)
+11.7%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
63.2% (193)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
44.3% (88)
+6.2%
On even strength, Carter has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Carter
Zacha
Home
64.3% (207)
56.7% (538)
Away
60.8% (217)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Carter
Zacha
P1
65.3%
52.6%
P2
60.1%
54.8%
P3
63.8%
56.8%
OT
40.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
65.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |