Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 53.3%). Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Danault 53.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 18-8 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 59.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 62.4%
Neutral zone
Danault 51.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Carter
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
18
(26 meetings)
8
18
Carter
Danault
Last 10: Carter 4-6 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
3
11
Carter
Danault
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
5
3
Carter
Danault
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
4
Carter
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
53.6% (9,447)
-0.3%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
61.4% (757)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
47.4% (1,702)
-1.1%
On power play, Danault has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (4,034).
Home / Away
Carter
Danault
Home
54.7% (5,752)
54.2% (5,820)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
52.3% (6,086)
By Period
Carter
Danault
P1
53.6%
53.7%
P2
52.8%
53.5%
P3
53.1%
52.7%
OT
56.5%
49.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 11:43 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 04:04 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 10:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |