Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Danault 54.0% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 56.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 89.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 72.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Carter
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Carter
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Carter
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
55.1% (953)
+4.6%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
64.6% (144)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
42.0% (176)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Danault is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Carter
Danault
Home
58.7% (455)
55.4% (641)
Away
60.0% (483)
53.3% (632)
By Period
Carter
Danault
P1
61.3%
61.0%
P2
57.1%
52.3%
P3
59.8%
51.3%
OT
57.1%
35.3%
Final 5 min
60.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 04:04 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |