Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Danault 51.7% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 68.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 56.3%
Neutral zone
Danault 58.0%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Carter
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Carter
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Carter
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Carter
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
52.6% (895)
+13.0%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
55.7% (97)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
45.5% (165)
+5.0%
On even strength, Carter has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Danault is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Carter
Danault
Home
64.3% (207)
54.0% (581)
Away
60.8% (217)
49.7% (576)
By Period
Carter
Danault
P1
65.3%
53.7%
P2
60.1%
55.3%
P3
63.8%
46.5%
OT
40.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
65.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 11:43 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |