Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Danault 53.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 66.7%
Defensive zone
Danault 70.4%
Neutral zone
Danault 67.3%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Carter
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Carter
Danault
Last 10: Carter 2-8 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
5
Carter
Danault
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
Carter
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
54.0% (985)
+3.9%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
61.1% (131)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
43.8% (146)
+1.6%
On even strength, Carter has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Danault is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Carter
Danault
Home
58.2% (543)
54.7% (636)
Away
55.9% (594)
52.4% (626)
By Period
Carter
Danault
P1
57.5%
54.1%
P2
57.1%
54.3%
P3
55.8%
52.5%
OT
68.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |