Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.4% vs Monahan 49.3% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 21-9 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 79.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 70.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 77.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Carter
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
9
(30 meetings)
21
9
Carter
Monahan
Last 10: Carter 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
10
3
Carter
Monahan
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
8
4
Carter
Monahan
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
2
Carter
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (934)
49.0% (1,435)
+2.5%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
50.2% (281)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (95)
50.9% (114)
+1.7%
On power play, Carter has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Carter is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (810).
Carter shoots right. Monahan is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (746).
Home / Away
Carter
Monahan
Home
55.1% (554)
51.2% (936)
Away
50.4% (639)
47.3% (894)
By Period
Carter
Monahan
P1
50.8%
48.8%
P2
52.1%
48.9%
P3
54.8%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
51.7%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 17:40 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 06:49 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 19:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |