Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Monahan 53.9% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 50.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 92.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 68.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Carter
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Carter
Monahan
Last 7: Carter 5-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
54.5% (231)
+5.2%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
58.2% (67)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
52.2% (23)
+1.0%
On power play, Carter has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Monahan is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Carter
Monahan
Home
58.7% (455)
53.5% (144)
Away
60.0% (483)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Carter
Monahan
P1
61.3%
52.5%
P2
57.1%
50.9%
P3
59.8%
60.8%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:42 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |