Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Monahan 54.5% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 51.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 90.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 76.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Carter
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Carter
Monahan
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Carter
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
0
Carter
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
57.1% (871)
+8.5%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
53.1% (262)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
44.6% (139)
+5.9%
On power play, Carter has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Carter
Monahan
Home
64.3% (207)
55.3% (644)
Away
60.8% (217)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Carter
Monahan
P1
65.3%
53.9%
P2
60.1%
55.3%
P3
63.8%
54.4%
OT
40.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
65.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 13, 2023 | OT | 01:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |