Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Monahan 52.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 55.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 90.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 78.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 84.5%
84.5%
15.5%
Carter
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Carter
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
51.5% (641)
+6.4%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
62.8% (129)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
33.3% (9)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Carter
Monahan
Home
58.2% (543)
53.9% (362)
Away
55.9% (594)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Carter
Monahan
P1
57.5%
48.0%
P2
57.1%
57.0%
P3
55.8%
54.1%
OT
68.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 16:59 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |