Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 53.5%). Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (65% H2H, 20 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Crosby 53.5% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 34-26 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 58.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 75.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 62.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Carter
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
34
(60 meetings)
26
34
Carter
Crosby
Last 10: Carter 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
9
11
Carter
Crosby
20 total
Defensive Zone
Even
10
10
Carter
Crosby
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
7
13
Carter
Crosby
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
52.8% (17,990)
+0.5%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
57.4% (4,733)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
47.1% (765)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Carter
Crosby
Home
54.7% (5,752)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Carter
Crosby
P1
53.6%
53.6%
P2
52.8%
53.9%
P3
53.1%
53.3%
OT
56.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:16 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 17:17 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 12:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 18:05 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |