Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Crosby 52.8% (+6.4%)
Offensive zone
Crosby 80.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 89.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Carter
Crosby
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
52.5% (1,443)
+7.2%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
54.7% (369)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
55.9% (34)
-2.7%
On power play, Carter has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Crosby is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Carter
Crosby
Home
58.7% (455)
53.0% (931)
Away
60.0% (483)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Carter
Crosby
P1
61.3%
50.3%
P2
57.1%
55.4%
P3
59.8%
53.3%
OT
57.1%
47.4%
Final 5 min
60.2%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%